Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.178857 0.204523 0.233231 0.267845 0.308606 0.355273 0.413022
2025-11-23 0.135658 0.168590 0.209217 0.263543 0.335068 0.427120 0.556351
2025-11-30 0.114534 0.151211 0.199840 0.270156 0.371111 0.513773 0.736057
2025-12-07 0.097039 0.134109 0.186043 0.265858 0.388631 0.575856 0.894179
2025-12-14 0.085717 0.123134 0.178071 0.267086 0.412593 0.650216 1.088043
2025-12-21 0.076659 0.113830 0.170661 0.267100 0.433493 0.722579 1.296291
2025-12-28 0.070744 0.108320 0.167984 0.273749 0.465929 0.820571 1.578348
2026-01-04 0.065292 0.102732 0.164217 0.277596 0.493603 0.915199 1.881417
2026-01-11 0.060699 0.097920 0.160975 0.281608 0.521943 1.016893 2.231546
2026-01-18 0.057256 0.094600 0.159783 0.289026 0.558087 1.142678 2.680675
2026-01-25 0.053341 0.089987 0.155652 0.290034 0.581019 1.244711 3.106743
2026-02-01 0.049706 0.085473 0.151128 0.289496 0.600375 1.342930 3.559792
2026-02-08 0.046142 0.080801 0.145913 0.287082 0.615871 1.437778 4.049465
2026-02-15 0.042726 0.076087 0.140114 0.282652 0.626066 1.522579 4.548810
2026-02-22 0.040881 0.074185 0.139663 0.289874 0.666096 1.698943 5.443455
2026-03-01 0.038069 0.070116 0.134332 0.285216 0.675105 1.790221 6.079446
2026-03-08 0.036078 0.067494 0.131730 0.286550 0.700245 1.937244 7.016648
2026-03-15 0.034157 0.064838 0.128761 0.286566 0.721867 2.080265 8.026163
2026-03-22 0.032969 0.063586 0.128708 0.293786 0.765579 2.310503 9.588020
2026-03-29 0.031639 0.061911 0.127527 0.297963 0.801388 2.526314 11.244819
2026-04-05 0.030419 0.060364 0.126471 0.302321 0.838880 2.762323 13.206052
2026-04-12 0.029523 0.059443 0.126767 0.310381 0.890192 3.071669 15.880178
2026-04-19 0.028253 0.057585 0.124652 0.311477 0.918976 3.302218 18.294779